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We are entitled to wonder - Is this administration Carter
Redux stumbling into
 Former Ambassador John Bolton: The president in way over his head.
Apparently, history is
not this president’s strong suit. In
Trying to start a civilized democracy without the necessary, robust infrastructure is like inviting children from the suburbs to sell lemonade in a rough neighborhood controlled by drug dealers and infested with child abusers...without police protection. As the children are overwhelmed by thugs, we might hear a professorial voice over the loudspeaker: “Shame on you bad people”, but the thugs will neither hear nor heed.
My first instinct, on hearing the president’s somewhat
contradictory statement yesterday, while the chaotic backdrop of the
Then, after a moment’s reflection , I added– Since he probably does not know what he is doing, I hope to hell he is lucky.
This president has enjoyed a remarkable run of lucky breaks
where national security and terrorism are concerned. I’m thinking particularly of the
Luck has a way of running out.
It will be bad enough if our new president loses
It would be excusable if we were to learn that this
administration was blindsided by the Egyptian eruption. After all (relying on reputable, but flawed intelligence),
Bush II erroneously thought the stockpiles
It would hardly be excusable if we were to learn that the administration’s fingerprints were all over the inception of the Egyptian uprising. I’m agnostic on that issue, but the London Telegraph story referenced above was troubling to say the least.
Two necessary baby steps on the path to democratic rule have been advocated by those who have carefully studied the problem of spreading the blessings of democracy to cultures for which there is no institutional tradition or memory of anything but a “thugocracy” or “kleptocracy”. [The forms and variations of these regimes are as manifold as are their cloaking ideologies)] The pre-democracy baby steps are:
(1) A professional military and
(2) A viable legal system.
By all accounts
Mubarak, 82, is a survivor. And the Egyptian military and intelligence services are manifestly not in the hands of jihadists. The most recent report is that –
“Embattled Egyptian President Mubarak appointed on Saturday a former air force commander and aviation minister, Ahmed Shafiq, as the new prime minister, in efforts to stem popular rage against his autocratic regime. The move ensures that men with military links are in the top three political jobs.”
As the chaos in
It’s time for cautious reassurances from the White House,
not hints of reckless revolutionary zeal.
Progress towards a free social order in countries like
Monday at 9 AM Pacific, Noon Eastern, I am posting an important article, Creativity and Survival. It will bear on this issue in the following way: We and many parts of the politically correct Western developed cultures, fail somehow to appreciate the value of our own legacy. We speak blithely of freedom but miss the even larger issue. “What is that?” you ask. Check this space Monday. The conversation continues....